What is Opinio?

Opinio is a prediction market platform that lets you trade on the outcomes of real-world events. Instead of simply guessing, you put real money behind your predictions and earn profits when you're right.

How Prediction Markets Work

A prediction market is like a stock market, but instead of trading company shares, you trade on the likelihood of future events. Each market asks a simple yes/no question:

• "Will Bitcoin reach $100K by end of 2026?"

• "Will Team X win the championship?"

• "Will this movie gross over $500M?"

The Basics

1. Markets have two sides: YES and NO

2. Prices reflect probability: If YES costs $0.70, the market thinks there's roughly a 70% chance the event happens

3. Winners get paid: When the market resolves, winning positions are worth $1 each

4. Losers lose their stake: If you bet wrong, you lose what you invested

Why Trade on Opinio?

Put Your Knowledge to Work

Have insights about crypto, sports, politics, or entertainment? Turn that knowledge into real profits by trading on markets you understand.

Better Than Betting

Unlike traditional betting:

• You can sell anytime - Don't wait for the event to end

• Prices change - Buy low, sell high as sentiment shifts

• Fair odds - No house edge, just market-driven prices

Earn While You Trade

Every trade earns you Season 1 points:

• Points accumulate based on your trading volume

• Higher volume = higher tier = bonus multipliers

• Points may convert to rewards in future airdrops

Market Categories

Opinio offers markets across several categories:

Category	Description	Examples
Crypto	Blockchain and cryptocurrency events	Price predictions, protocol updates
Politics	Elections and policy decisions	Election outcomes, legislation
Sports	Athletic competitions	Game winners, championships
Entertainment	Movies, TV, and pop culture	Box office, award shows
Yes/No	General binary questions	Any verifiable yes/no question

How Prices Work

Opinio uses a parimutuel pricing system:

• All money bet on YES and NO goes into a shared pool

• The price of each side reflects how much money is backing it

• When the market resolves, the entire pool (minus fees) goes to the winners

This means:

• Early correct predictions get better prices

• Prices naturally adjust as more people trade

• No bookmaker setting odds - it's purely market-driven

Getting Started

Ready to start trading? Here's your path:

1. Create an Account - Set up your Opinio profile

2. Connect Your Wallet - Link your crypto wallet

3. Deposit Funds - Add USDC to your account

4. Start trading on Markets!

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Next: Creating an Account →